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Survey Measures of Inflation Expectation



The research objective was to analyze various survey measures of inflation expectation in Indonesia.We found that the heterogeneity of inflation expectation among economic agents and professional forecasters for short forecast horizon is very low. Survey measures of inflation expectation appear to be forward looking but only for relatively short horizon. Although the magnitude and the length vary accross measures of inflation expectation we find that shock to inflation expectation significantly affect the dynamics of the actual inflation rate. Based on the accuracy the effect on actual inflation and directional information that they have in predicting current and future inflation inflation expectation from Consensus forecast outperformed the others.



Informasi Detail

Judul Seri
-
Kode Buku
330.5 BUL 3-4
No Reg
-
Penerbit Bag. Serial Buletin Ekonomi Moneter dan Perbankan : .,
Deskripsi Fisik
Sumber artikel:Jurnal. Halaman: 421-456
Bahasa
Indonesia
ISBN/ISSN
-
Edisi
No. 4. Vol. 14 April-2012
Subjek
Pernyataan Tanggungjawab

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