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Aplikasi Model Garch Pada Data Inflasi Bahan Makanan Indonesia Periode 2005.1-2010.6



In econometric time series analysis data which have high volatility would be very risky to be used as a basis for forecasting including the volatility of food prices in Indonesia. Time series data have a tendency to have a constant confounding error variance over time. Appropriate econometric model to estimate such behavior is called the Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (ARCH) model and the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) model. This paper attempts to use ARCH/GARCH models to explain the behavior of food price inflation in Indonesia in time period of 2005.1 to 2010.6. It is explained that by incorporating elements of ARCH/GARCH better estimates will be achieved.



Informasi Detail

Judul Seri
-
Kode Buku
378.006 ORG
No Reg
-
Penerbit Bagian Serial Jurnal Organisasi & Manajemen. Lembaga Penelitian dan Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat. Universitas Terbuka : .,
Deskripsi Fisik
Sumber artikel:Jurnal. Halaman: 38-52
Bahasa
Indonesia
ISBN/ISSN
-
Edisi
No. 1. Vol. 7 Maret-2011
Subjek
Pernyataan Tanggungjawab

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